Raw 30-day realized vol is 90.4%, inflated 1.72× by the last earnings gap. The ex-earnings figure above is the fair comparison for contracts expiring before the next report.
| Profile | Delta band | Expiry | DTE | Strike | Δ | Credit | Collateral | ARoC | VAY | POP | Unassigned | IV/RV | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| conservative | 0.05–0.15 | — no qualifying contract — | no trade | ||||||||||
| moderate | 0.15–0.25 | — no qualifying contract — | no trade | ||||||||||
| aggressive | 0.25–0.40 | — no qualifying contract — | no trade | ||||||||||
| Expiry | DTE | ATM IV | Ern | Strike | Δ | Credit | ARoC | VAY | Unassigned | IV/RV | Γ risk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 | 12 | 50% | 165 | -0.17 | 1.56 | 29% | 0.56 | 81% | 0.99× | 0.026 | ||
| 09-11 | 19 | 48% | 165 | -0.20 | 2.40 | 28% | 0.57 | 77% | 0.94× | 0.025 | ||
| 09-18 | 26 | 48% | 165 | -0.23 | 3.39 | 29% | 0.59 | 73% | 0.94× | 0.023 | ||
| 09-25 | 33 | 48% | 165 | -0.25 | 4.28 | 29% | 0.59 | 70% | 0.94× | 0.021 | ||
| 10-02 | 40 | 49% | 160 | -0.21 | 3.83 | 22% | 0.44 | 74% | 0.96× | 0.017 | ||
| 10-16 | 54 | 49% | 150 | -0.15 | 3.09 | 14% | 0.27 | 80% | 0.99× | 0.012 | ||
| 11-20 | 89 | 57% | ⚠ | 140 | -0.15 | 4.86 | 15% | 0.25 | 77% | 0.66× | 0.008 |
Annualized return is not neutral across the term: at constant delta a short-dated contract annualizes far higher simply because a small credit over a few days extrapolates hugely. Γ risk — the delta change per 1% move — shows what the short end costs you.
02:31 EDT · weekend
Market is closed. Quotes are last week's close.
Freshly scanned. Generated 2026-08-23 06:31 UTC. JSON